Fed Dot Plot Shows Most Officials Expect One More Rate Hike This Year

On September 17, according to Jinshi Data, the latest dot plot forecast released by the Federal Reserve shows that among the 18 participating officials, 12 expect one more rate hike this year by 25 basis points. Another 4 officials expect two more rate hikes within the year, while only 2 believe monetary policy will remain unchanged with no further hikes.

This dot plot result clarifies the Fed leadership's policy leaning for the upcoming monetary approach. The consensus of 12 officials supporting a single rate hike forms the current mainstream expectation framework, while the minority views of two hikes and zero hikes reflect internal strategic divergence. The relevant data will provide a clear reference point for the next phase of interest rate decisions.

[TechFlow]