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Swiss Franc Strengthens in Range, Dollar Softens Ahead of Fed Minutes

On Wednesday, the Swiss franc firmed modestly against the dollar, with USD/CHF retreating from the 0.8130 level to around 0.8100, while still trading well above the bottom of…

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On Wednesday, the Swiss franc firmed modestly against the dollar, with USD/CHF retreating from the 0.8130 level to around 0.8100, while still trading well above the bottom of the August range near 0.8040. Market sentiment was cautious as investors awaited the release of the Federal Reserve's July monetary policy meeting minutes later in the day.

**Dollar Pullback Dominates the Session**

The dollar retreated broadly against major currencies, serving as the main catalyst for the franc's strength. USD/CHF last traded around 0.81055, stuck in a narrow range, with neither buyers nor sellers showing notable momentum ahead of the Federal Reserve event. On the technical front, the pair has pulled back but remains a meaningfully above the August range bottom, with the broader unit picture intact.

**Fed Minutes Are the Key Variable**

Market focus is centered on the Federal Reserve's July meeting minutes due later in the day. Investors are looking for additional clues into the future rate path, especially the internal debate among policymakers about the inflation outlook and the timing of rate cuts. Recent signals have clearly increased in weight for the dollar's direction, and the rate channel has become the key transmission mechanism supporting the dollar versus lower-yield currencies. As a traditional low-yield currency, the Swiss franc is particularly sensitive to those signals.

**Franc Direction Still Awaits Catalyst**

Until the minutes are released, USD/CHF lacks the momentum for a one-sided breakout. Market participants believe that if the minutes lean hawkish, out is seen as the main risk for the dollar to regain support, while a dovish tone could push the franc toward the lower edge of the range. In the current phase, the pair is likely to remain range-bound around 0.8040 to 0.8130.

Original: https://www.fxstreet.hk/news/rui-lang-zai-qu-jian-nei-zou-qiang-mei-yuan-zou-ruan-jing-dai-mei-lian-chu-hui-yi-ji-yao-202608190832

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